Argentina vs Switzerland
Argentina host Switzerland in the World Cup Quarter-finals at Arrowhead Stadium on 12 July 2026, with kickoff set for 01:00 UTC; this page carries the confirmed team news and lineups as they arrive, the head to head record and the data driven prediction, and it switches to live coverage at kickoff.
Form and Table
- Argentina 1st 9 pts WinWinWinWinWin
- Switzerland 1st 7 pts WinWinWinWinDraw
Head to Head: Last Meetings
Across 1 recent meetings: Argentina 1 wins | 0 draws | Switzerland 0 wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 1 : 0 | Switzerland |
Prediction
Consensus win probability, blending the API-Football and SportMonks prediction models.
- Argentina
- Switzerland
Predicted goals: Argentina -3.5 | Switzerland -2.5
Predicted winner: Argentina | Win or draw
Advice: Double chance : Argentina or draw
Prediction, Odds & Value Bets
Probability-based analysis, not a prediction or guarantee. No bet is safe or certain; odds and lineups change before kickoff. 18+ — gamble responsibly.
Most likely outcome
Argentina to win (1) 50.9% Low confidence odds 1.69
Lowest-variance angle: Argentina or draw (Double Chance) — 81.4%, High confidence (odds 1.14).
Based on the match prediction model blended with de-margined bookmaker-consensus odds.
Suggested same-game slip
Low confidence- Combined odds4.35
- Implied probability23.0%
- Modeled probability18.3%
- Estimated EV-20.3%
| Match | Market / selection | Odds | Implied | Modeled | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina v Switzerland | Total Corners: Over 8.25 | 1.82 | 54.9% | 50.8% | -4.1% |
| Argentina v Switzerland | Goals Over/Under: Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 72.5% | 68.1% | -4.3% |
| Argentina v Switzerland | Total Shots on Target: Under 8.5 | 1.73 | 57.8% | 53.0% | -4.8% |
Same-game legs can be correlated; combined probability is an estimate and a bookmaker may restrict combining them.
Markets & angles (1X2, goals, corners, shots on target)
| Market | Selection | Odds | Implied | Modeled | Edge | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw (X) | 3.60 | 27.8% | 30.5% | +2.8% | Medium |
| Double Chance | Switzerland or draw (Double Chance) | 2.12 | 47.2% | 49.4% | +2.3% | Medium |
| Match Result (1X2) | Switzerland to win (2) | 5.50 | 18.2% | 18.5% | +0.4% | Medium |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 45.0% | 42.8% | -2.3% | Low |
| Total Corners | Under 8.25 | 1.88 | 53.2% | 49.2% | -4.0% | Low |
| Total Corners | Over 8.25 | 1.82 | 54.9% | 50.8% | -4.1% | Low |
| Total Shots on Target | Over 8.5 | 1.95 | 51.3% | 47.0% | -4.3% | Low |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 72.5% | 68.1% | -4.3% | Low |
| Total Shots on Target | Under 8.5 | 1.73 | 57.8% | 53.0% | -4.8% | Low |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 3.5 goals | 1.21 | 82.6% | 76.8% | -5.9% | Low |
Likely goalscorers (anytime)
| Player | Odds | Implied chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 1.91 | 52.4% | Low |
| Lautaro Martinez | 2.60 | 38.5% | Low |
| Julian Alvarez | 2.60 | 38.5% | Low |
| Jose Flaco Lopez | 2.75 | 36.4% | Low |
| Nicolas Paz | 3.50 | 28.6% | Low |
| Giuliano Simeone | 3.50 | 28.6% | Low |
Anytime goalscorer chances are the de-margined market price — variance-heavy, lower confidence.
Want the full picture? See every value angle, edge and expected value, plus how this match fits today’s high-value bets.
Full Argentina vs Switzerland betting analysis Today’s high-value bets
Updated: 10 Jul 2026, 03:29 UTC