Switzerland vs Colombia
Switzerland host Colombia in the World Cup Round of 16 at BC Place on 7 July 2026, with kickoff set for 20:00 UTC; this page carries the confirmed team news and lineups as they arrive, the head to head record and the data driven prediction, and it switches to live coverage at kickoff.
Form and Table
- Switzerland 1st 7 pts WinWinWinDraw
- Colombia 1st 7 pts WinDrawWinWin
Prediction
Consensus win probability, blending the API-Football and SportMonks prediction models.
- Switzerland
- Colombia
Predicted goals: Switzerland -2.5 | Colombia -2.5
Predicted winner: Switzerland | Win or draw
Advice: Double chance : Switzerland or draw
Prediction, Odds & Value Bets
Probability-based analysis, not a prediction or guarantee. No bet is safe or certain; odds and lineups change before kickoff. 18+ — gamble responsibly.
Most likely outcome
Colombia to win (2) 38.3% Low confidence odds 2.25
Lowest-variance angle: Colombia or draw (Double Chance) — 68.9%, Medium confidence (odds 1.30).
Based on the match prediction model blended with de-margined bookmaker-consensus odds.
Suggested same-game slip
Low confidence- Combined odds4.13
- Implied probability24.2%
- Modeled probability20.9%
- Estimated EV-13.6%
| Match | Market / selection | Odds | Implied | Modeled | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland v Colombia | Double Chance: Switzerland or draw (Double Chance) | 1.62 | 61.7% | 61.8% | +0.0% |
| Switzerland v Colombia | Total Corners: Over 8.75 | 1.82 | 54.9% | 50.8% | -4.1% |
| Switzerland v Colombia | Goals Over/Under: Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 71.4% | 66.7% | -4.8% |
Same-game legs can be correlated; combined probability is an estimate and a bookmaker may restrict combining them.
Markets & angles (1X2, goals, corners, shots on target)
| Market | Selection | Odds | Implied | Modeled | Edge | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Switzerland to win (1) | 3.40 | 29.4% | 31.2% | +1.8% | Medium |
| Double Chance | Switzerland or draw (Double Chance) | 1.62 | 61.7% | 61.8% | +0.0% | Medium |
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw (X) | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.5% | -1.7% | Medium |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 44.1% | 41.6% | -2.4% | Low |
| Total Corners | Under 8.75 | 1.88 | 53.2% | 49.2% | -4.0% | Low |
| Total Corners | Over 8.75 | 1.82 | 54.9% | 50.8% | -4.1% | Low |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 71.4% | 66.7% | -4.8% | Low |
| Match Result (1X2) | Colombia to win (2) | 2.25 | 44.4% | 38.3% | -6.2% | Medium |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 3.5 goals | 1.20 | 83.3% | 77.1% | -6.2% | Low |
| Total Shots on Target | Over 8.5 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 46.0% | -6.6% | Low |
Likely goalscorers (anytime)
| Player | Odds | Implied chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cucho Hernandez | 3.00 | 33.3% | Low |
| Breel Embolo | 3.25 | 30.8% | Low |
| Luis Suarez | 3.25 | 30.8% | Low |
| Luis Diaz | 3.25 | 30.8% | Low |
| Andres Gomez | 3.60 | 27.8% | Low |
| Cedric Itten | 3.75 | 26.7% | Low |
Anytime goalscorer chances are the de-margined market price — variance-heavy, lower confidence.
Want the full picture? See every value angle, edge and expected value, plus how this match fits today’s high-value bets.
Full Switzerland vs Colombia betting analysis Today’s high-value bets
Updated: 7 Jul 2026, 18:07 UTC