Curaçao vs Ivory Coast: Betting Analysis & Value Bets
Data-led betting analysis for Curaçao versus Ivory Coast (kickoff 25 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC). 10 value angles are assessed below from the match prediction model and de-margined bookmaker odds, with modeled probability, edge and expected value for each. Informational only — no bet is a guarantee.
Important: Probability-based analysis, not a prediction or guarantee. No bet is safe or certain. Odds and lineups change before kickoff. 18+ only — please gamble responsibly. See the full match page.
Most likely outcome
Ivory Coast to win (2) 63.4% Medium confidence odds 1.16
Lowest-variance angle: Ivory Coast or draw (Double Chance) — 91.7%, High confidence (odds 1.03).
Suggested Same-Game Slip
Same-game slip
Low confidence- Combined odds2.52
- Implied probability39.7%
- Modeled probability33.2%
- Estimated EV-16.3%
| Match | Market / selection | Odds | Implied | Modeled | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curaçao v Ivory Coast | Goals Over/Under: Under 3.5 goals | 1.63 | 61.3% | 58.0% | -3.4% |
| Curaçao v Ivory Coast | Goals Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 66.7% | 62.5% | -4.2% |
| Curaçao v Ivory Coast | Double Chance: Ivory Coast or draw (Double Chance) | 1.03 | 97.1% | 91.7% | -5.4% |
Same-game legs can be correlated; combined probability is an estimate and a bookmaker may restrict combining them.
Value Angles
| Market | Selection | Odds | Implied | Modeled | Edge | EV | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Chance | Curaçao or draw (Double Chance) | 5.00 | 20.0% | 37.1% | +17.1% | +85.6% | Medium |
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw (X) | 7.45 | 13.4% | 28.9% | +15.4% | +115.0% | Medium |
| Match Result (1X2) | Curaçao to win (1) | 17.00 | 5.9% | 7.8% | +1.9% | +32.4% | Medium |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 3.5 goals | 1.63 | 61.3% | 58.0% | -3.4% | -5.5% | Low |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 66.7% | 62.5% | -4.2% | -6.3% | Low |
| Total Corners | Under 9.5 | 1.85 | 54.1% | 48.8% | -5.3% | -9.8% | Low |
| Double Chance | Ivory Coast or draw (Double Chance) | 1.03 | 97.1% | 91.7% | -5.4% | -5.6% | High |
| Total Corners | Over 9.5 | 1.76 | 56.8% | 51.2% | -5.6% | -9.8% | Low |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 87.7% | 81.4% | -6.3% | -7.2% | Low |
| Match Result (1X2) | Ivory Coast to win (2) | 1.16 | 86.2% | 63.4% | -22.9% | -26.5% | Medium |
Modeled probability blends the match prediction with de-margined bookmaker-consensus odds. A positive edge means the model rates the outcome more likely than the price implies — not that it will happen.
Likely Goalscorers (Anytime)
| Player | Odds | Implied chance | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yan Diomande | 1.95 | 51.3% | Low |
| Nicolas Pepe | 1.95 | 51.3% | Low |
| Amad Diallo | 1.95 | 51.3% | Low |
| Ange Bonny | 1.95 | 51.3% | Low |
| Evann Guessand | 2.20 | 45.5% | Low |
| Elye Wahi | 2.30 | 43.5% | Low |
| Simon Adingra | 2.30 | 43.5% | Low |
| Oumar Diakite | 2.50 | 40.0% | Low |
Anytime-goalscorer chances are the de-margined market price — a variance-heavy market, so confidence is lower. Shortest odds = most likely to score.
This is a probability-based analysis, not a guarantee. Bet only within your limits, never chase losses, and skip it if odds or lineups change materially. 18+ | BeGambleAware.